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FIGHTDETECTIVE
All Fighters

Matheus Nicolau

7W · 4L
Orthodox
Flyweight
Bantamweight
29% finish rate67% as favorite75% as underdog
64%wins
1492
ELO Rating

Fighter overview

ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →

1491.8Developing→

Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified

Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →

No recent fights — out of active rankings

Age

33
Jan 6, 1993

Height

5'6" (167.64 cm)

Reach

167.64 cm

Win Rate

63.6%

Output & Defense

Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)

Strikes landed / min
3.31
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+0.33
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
65%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
1.22
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
90%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.80
Sub_Avg
Elite TD defenseElusive striker

Head-to-Head Comparison

Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side

Career statistics

Career Averages (per fight)

17.2
Sig. Strikes
1.6
Takedowns
1.2
Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO1 (14%)
Submission1 (14%)
Decision2 (29%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO3 (75%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

67%

4W – 2L in 6 fights

As Underdog

75%

3W – 1L in 4 fights

ELO analysis

ELO Trajectory

Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details

Cont.Mid1480149015101492Nov 15Dec 17Mar 21Mar 22Apr 23Oct 24
WinLossDrawCurrent ELO11 fights

Elo Changes

Rating gained or lost in each fight

lost to Asu Almabayev
Oct 19, 2024
-6.61492
lost to Alex Perez
Apr 27, 2024
-4.01498
lost to Brandon Royval
Apr 15, 2023
-2.01502
def. Matt Schnell
Dec 3, 2022
+2.21505
def. David Dvorak
Mar 26, 2022
+0.91502
def. Tim Elliott
Oct 9, 2021
+0.71501
def. Manel Kape
Mar 13, 2021
+0.61501
lost to Dustin Ortiz
Jul 28, 2018
-0.11500
def. Louis Smolka
Dec 30, 2017
+0.11500
def. John Moraga
Jul 8, 2016
0.01500
def. Bruno Korea
Nov 7, 2015
0.01500

Division ELO Rankings

Flyweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill

#1Joshua Van
1595
↗
#2Wang Cong
1560
↗
#3Manel Kape
1555
↗
#4Asu Almabayev
1554
↗
#5Alden Coria
1552
↗
#6Ramazan Temirov
1545
↗
#7Alessandro Costa
1542
↗
#8Jasmine Jasudavicius
1541
#9Dione Barbosa
1540
↗
#10Edgar Chairez
1540
↗

Showing top 10 of 58 active fighters · Full rankings →

Professional fight history

Fight History (11 fights)

vs Asu Almabayev
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
Flyweight
Loss
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
vs Alex Perez
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Flyweight
Loss
KO/TKO · Rnd 2View Analysis →
vs Brandon Royval
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Flyweight
Loss
KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →
vs Matt Schnell
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 3, 2022
Flyweight
Win
KO/TKO · Rnd 2View Analysis →
vs David Dvorak
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Flyweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
vs Tim Elliott
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · Oct 9, 2021
Flyweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
vs Manel Kape
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Mar 13, 2021
Flyweight
Win
S-DECView Analysis →
vs Dustin Ortiz
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Jul 28, 2018
Flyweight
Loss
KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →
vs Louis Smolka
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · Dec 30, 2017
Flyweight
Win
Decision · Rnd 3View Analysis →
vs John Moraga
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · Jul 8, 2016
Flyweight
Win
Decision · Rnd 3View Analysis →
vs Bruno Korea
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · Nov 7, 2015
Bantamweight
Win
Submission · Rnd 3View Analysis →