UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. RodriguezLight Heavyweight
Fight Detective uses Engine 7.0 to study every matchup, publish a winner pick, and preserve what the system said before the result was known. Explore the next card, the data behind each fighter, and dated event scorecards across 7,000+ historical fights.
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Model release
Our new point-in-time, reproducible prediction package is the official production engine.
Read the Engine 7.0 storyTransparency
Browse dated UFC events, open a permanent page, and inspect the settled fight-by-fight replay.
Browse event resultsAccess
Unlock every Engine 7 prediction and the private bet tracker for $9 per month.
View membershipEvery published fight on the upcoming card, with the model's winner call and de-vigged market context where a two-sided line is available.
10 real historical fights, head-to-head against Engine 5.0. No signup needed — sign in to save your record.
The useful question is not only what the model predicts, but what information it used and when that information existed.
Engine 7.0 supplies the winner pick. When both moneyline sides are available, the percentage shown is the de-vigged market probability—not a claim that our model has discovered a betting edge.
Market-implied probability. The headline number on every fight is the two-sided market line with the bookmaker's margin removed. When there is no market line yet, we show no probability rather than a guess.
Engine 7.0 pick. The selected winner comes from the production model. Its internal probability remains a research signal and is not presented as a betting edge or recommendation. Nothing here is betting advice.
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This section is a retrospective replay over settled fights. It is useful evidence about model behaviour, but it is not presented as a pre-fight live record.
| Date | Fight | Confidence | Our pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison | 60% | Gable Steveson | Gable Steveson | ✓ |
| 2026.07.11 | Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez | 52% | Adrian Yanez | Adrian Yanez | ✓ |
| 2026.07.11 | Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett | 54% | Benoit Saint Denis | Paddy Pimblett | ✕ |
| 2026.07.11 | Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden | 63% | Alessandro Costa | Alessandro Costa | ✓ |
| 2026.07.11 | Nikita Krylov vs Robert Whittaker | 63% | Robert Whittaker | Robert Whittaker | ✓ |