ELO Rankings

ML skill ratings derived from finish-weighted ELO over every UFC fight. Active fighters only (last 18 months).

Active fighters711Fought in last 18 months

Elite tier51580+ ELO

Biggest 30d move+69Conor McGregor

Biggest 30d drop−38Mitch Ramirez

Most movementBW53 fighters shifting

Rising momentum

The Surge

Falling momentum

The Fall

MethodologyHow Fight Detective ranks fighters

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The concept

Beat a great fighter, gain a lot. Beat a weaker fighter, gain a little. Lose to anyone and you lose points. Every UFC fight ever has been replayed through the model to produce the ratings on this page.

What the tiers mean

Elite1580+World class. Pound-for-pound territory.

Top1560–1579Title contender range. Champions live here.

Contender1540–1559Divisional threats. Top-15 caliber.

Mid1500–1539Established UFC-level fighter.

Developing<1500Still proving themselves.

What moves the rating

Finish bonusFinishes earn more

KO/TKO = 1.20× K-factor. Submission = 1.15×. Decision = 1.0×.

Recency decayOld wins fade

Fights older than ~18 months count less. The K-factor decays exponentially.

Streak multiplierMomentum matters

A 3-fight win streak boosts K by 1.30×. A 2-fight skid boosts loss K by 1.35×.

Veteran scaleChampions are harder to move

After 20 fights, K drops to 0.8× — ratings of veterans move more slowly.

Velocity bonusActive = rewarded

Each of the last 12 months' fights adds 0.08× K (capped at 1.5×).

Inactivity decaySitting out costs

After 30 months out, ELO drifts back toward 1490 — career death.

Ratings update automatically after each completed UFC event. Pre-fight predictions you see elsewhere on the site are generated by a separate ML model that uses these ratings as one of its inputs.

Men's Divisions

Flyweight

125 lbs

#1Joshua Van

1599Elite

#2Wang Cong1562
#3Manel Kape1558
#4Asu Almabayev1557
#5Alden Coria1554

Active distribution· 57

Full rankings→

Bantamweight

135 lbs

#1Farid Basharat

1576Top

#2Joselyne Edwards1567
#3Bia Mesquita1565
#4Mario Bautista1554
#5Luana Santos1550

Active distribution· 105

Full rankings→

Featherweight

145 lbs

#1Kevin Vallejos

1575Top

#2Luke Riley1569
#3Melquizael Costa1564
#4Jose Delgado1559
#5Mairon Santos1558

Active distribution· 97

Full rankings→

Lightweight

155 lbs

#1Quillan Salkilld

1602Elite

#2King Green1568
#3Tom Nolan1562
#4Nurullo Aliev1559
#5Mauricio Ruffy1553

Active distribution· 98

Full rankings→

Welterweight

170 lbs

#1Carlos Prates

1567Top

#2Gabriel Bonfim1565
#3Daniil Donchenko1562
#4Mike Malott1552
#5Sam Patterson1552

Active distribution· 86

Full rankings→

Middleweight

185 lbs

#1Ateba Gautier

1601Elite

#2Christian Leroy Duncan1577
#3Cam Rowston1560
#4Baisangur Susurkaev1559
#5Joe Pyfer1553

Active distribution· 79

Full rankings→

Light Heavyweight

205 lbs

#1Navajo Stirling

1600Elite

#2Carlos Ulberg1573
#3Iwo Baraniewski1564
#4Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev1564
#5Billy Elekana1544

Active distribution· 47

Full rankings→

Heavyweight

265 lbs

#1Josh Hokit

1596Elite

#2Valter Walker1576
#3Brando Pericic1564
#4Waldo Cortes Acosta1562
#5Mario Pinto1548

Active distribution· 48

Full rankings→

Women's Divisions

Women's Strawweight

115 lbs

#1Alexia Thainara

1544Contender

#2Gillian Robertson1544
#3Denise Gomes1539
#4Piera Rodriguez1527
#5Iasmin Lucindo1525

Active distribution· 27

Full rankings→

Women's Flyweight

125 lbs

#1Natalia Silva

1550Contender

#2Carli Judice1542
#3Erin Blanchfield1529
#4Valentina Shevchenko1526
#5Manon Fiorot1522

Active distribution· 24

Full rankings→

Women's Bantamweight

135 lbs

#1Ailin Perez

1546Contender

#2Kayla Harrison1527
#3Yana Santos1527
#4Klaudia Sygula1522
#5Luana Carolina1500

Active distribution· 14

Full rankings→

Women's Featherweight

145 lbs

No active fighters yet.