Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matheus Nicolau enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matheus Nicolau has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Matheus Nicolau has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bruno KoreaNo prior UFC fights on record.
Matheus NicolauL3 streak
oldest →W
vs David Dvorak · Mar 22W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Dec 22L
KOvs Brandon Royval · Apr 23L
KOvs Alex Perez · Apr 24L
vs Asu Almabayev · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bruno KoreaMetricMatheus Nicolau
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.84Δ 2.17 — meaningful gap+0.33
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bruno Korea(1 fights)Matheus Nicolau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bruno KoreaTargetMatheus Nicolau
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matheus Nicolau edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
18Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:06Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Bruno Korea edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:23Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Matheus Nicolau edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:08Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
