All Fighters
Alex Oliveira
11W · 10L
Orthodox
Welterweight
Lightweight
64% finish rate67% as favorite33% as underdog
1419
ELO Rating
Fighter overview
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1418.9Developing→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
No recent fights — out of active rankings
Age
38
Feb 21, 1988
Height
5'11" (180.34 cm)
Reach
193.04 cm
Win Rate
52.4%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
2.99
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+0.44
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
46%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
2.35
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
63%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.60
Sub_Avg
Active wrestler
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career statistics
Career Averages (per fight)
16.5
Sig. Strikes
2.1
Takedowns
0.6
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO4 (36%)
Submission3 (27%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO2 (20%)
Submission5 (50%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
67%
8W – 4L in 12 fights
As Underdog
33%
3W – 6L in 9 fights
ELO analysis
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Kevin Holland
-1.11498
lost to Niko Price
-0.91499
lost to Randy Brown
-0.61500
lost to Shavkat Rakhmonov
-0.41500
def. Peter Sobotta
+0.31501
def. Max Griffin
+0.31500
lost to Nicolas Dalby
-0.21500
lost to Mike Perry
-0.11500
lost to Gunnar Nelson
-0.11500
def. Carlo Pedersoli
+0.11500
def. Carlos Condit
+0.11500
lost to Yancy Medeiros
-0.11500
def. Ryan LaFlare
+0.11500
def. Tim Means
0.01500
def. Will Brooks
0.01500
def. James Moontasri
0.01500
lost to Donald Cerrone
0.01500
def. Piotr Hallmann
0.01500
def. Joe Merritt
0.01500
def. KJ Noons
0.01500
lost to Gilbert Burns
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Welterweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Carlos Prates
1567
Gabriel Bonfim
1565
Daniil Donchenko
1562
Mike Malott
1552
Sam Patterson
1552
Michael Morales
1551
Myktybek Orolbai
1549
Jacobe Smith
1546
Yaroslav Amosov
1545
Professional fight history
Fight History (21 fights)
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Mar 5, 2022
Loss
View Analysis →vs Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 2, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →vs Randy Brown
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Oct 24, 2020
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · Jul 25, 2020
vs Max Griffin
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Mar 7, 2020
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Sep 28, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →vs Mike Perry
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Dec 8, 2018
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · Sep 22, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · Apr 14, 2018
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Dec 2, 2017
Loss
View Analysis →vs Ryan LaFlare
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · Jul 22, 2017
vs Tim Means
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · Mar 11, 2017
vs Will Brooks
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · Oct 1, 2016
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · Jul 23, 2016
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · Feb 21, 2016
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · Nov 7, 2015
vs Joe Merritt
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · Jun 27, 2015
vs KJ Noons
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · May 30, 2015
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · Mar 21, 2015
Loss
View Analysis →