Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yancy Medeiros enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yancy Medeiros threatens submissions; Alex Oliveira has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22 Yancy MedeirosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Erick Silva · Jun 17L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19L
vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex OliveiraMetricYancy Medeiros
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.44Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex OliveiraYancy Medeiros
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Oliveira(10 fights)Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +16.1|Blue -16.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex OliveiraTargetYancy Medeiros
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes55
Takedowns0
Control2:25
Knockdowns2
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Yancy Medeiros edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:08
37Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 3Yancy Medeiros edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control0:32
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
