Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alex Oliveira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25L
KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 26 Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricAlex Oliveira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gilbert BurnsAlex Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Alex Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +46.7|Blue -46.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gilbert BurnsTargetAlex Oliveira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:32
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
Round 2Alex Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:12
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:56Control
Round 3Gilbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control2:19
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:44Control
