Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Mike Perry has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Alex Oliveira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22 Mike PerryL2 streak
oldest →L
DECvs Vincente Luque · Aug 19L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Dec 19L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Apr 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex OliveiraMetricMike Perry
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.44Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap-0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex OliveiraMike Perry
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Oliveira(10 fights)Mike Perry(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +20.2|Blue -20.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex OliveiraTargetMike Perry
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:04
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 2Mike Perry edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:14
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:42Control
Round 3Mike Perry edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
