Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Piotr Hallmann threatens submissions; Alex Oliveira has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Piotr Hallmann has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alex Oliveira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22 Piotr HallmannL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 13W
SUBvs Yves Edwards · Jun 14L
vs Gleison Tibau · Sep 14L
KOvs Magomed Mustafaev · Jun 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex OliveiraMetricPiotr Hallmann
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex OliveiraPiotr Hallmann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Oliveira(10 fights)Piotr Hallmann(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +63.3|Blue -63.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex OliveiraTargetPiotr Hallmann
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control2:40
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Piotr Hallmann edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:18
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:22Control
Round 3Alex Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
