Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ryan LaFlare has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ryan LaFlare (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan LaFlare
oldest →W
vs Roan Carneiro · Feb 17L
KOvs Anthony Rocco Martin · Oct 18 Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan LaFlareMetricAlex Oliveira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ryan LaFlareAlex Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan LaFlare(10 fights)Alex Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +72.3|Blue -72.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ryan LaFlareTargetAlex Oliveira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ryan LaFlare edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control4:18
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Alex Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns0
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
