
AI-assisted editorial grounded in Fight Detective’s stored fight and ELO data.
Based on the supplied stats, Dern operates at a moderate-to-high striking pace, landing 3.47 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.93. That differential, along with a 51% striking defense, suggests many of her fights can feature meaningful exchanges rather than consistently one-sided striking control. Her stance is listed as orthodox. Her grappling profile shows a low-to-moderate takedown average (0.93) but a high submission average (1.1), which aligns with a record that includes multiple submission wins. Inference (not certainty): this combination can indicate that once the fight hits the mat—whether via takedowns, scrambles, or transitions—she is more likely to convert position into submission attempts than to rely on repeated takedown entries alone. Recent form in the fight log is positive: she is coming off three straight wins, including a five-round unanimous decision and a submission in round three. Across the listed losses, one is by KO/TKO and others are by decision, indicating she has typically been competitive enough to reach the scorecards even in defeats. Her 37% takedown defense is a potential pressure point in the numbers, implying opponents may be able to complete takedowns at a meaningful rate.
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
69%
9W – 4L in 13 fights
As Underdog
67%
2W – 1L in 3 fights
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Rating gained or lost in each fight
Women's Strawweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill