Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ashley Yoder enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Ashley Yoder has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ashley Yoder (53.5%).
- Ashley Yoder has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ashley YoderL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20W
vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20L
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21L
vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23 Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ashley YoderMetricMackenzie Dern
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.71evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ashley YoderMackenzie Dern
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ashley Yoder(10 fights)Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -41.2|Blue +41.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ashley YoderTargetMackenzie Dern
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mackenzie Dern edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:02
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 2Ashley Yoder edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:31
Knockdowns1
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Mackenzie Dern edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:10
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:53Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
