Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Mackenzie Dern threatens submissions; Amanda Lemos has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Amanda Lemos has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Lemos (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amanda LemosL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24W
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25L
vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26 Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amanda LemosMetricMackenzie Dern
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Amanda LemosMackenzie Dern
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amanda Lemos(10 fights)Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -32.6|Blue +32.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Amanda LemosTargetMackenzie Dern
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mackenzie Dern edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:45Control
Round 2Amanda Lemos edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control2:09
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Amanda Lemos edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control1:53
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
