Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Virna Jandiroba has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25 Virna Jandiroba
oldest →W
vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24W
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 24L
vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 25W
DECvs Tabatha Ricci · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mackenzie DernMetricVirna Jandiroba
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.46evenly matched on net striking-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.0|Blue +8.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mackenzie DernTargetVirna Jandiroba
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mackenzie Dern edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:54
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:19
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:05Control
Round 3Mackenzie Dern edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control1:21
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
