Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Yan Xiaonan has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25 Yan Xiaonan
oldest →L
vs Marina Rodriguez · Mar 22W
KOvs Jessica Andrade · May 23W
vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 24L
vs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mackenzie DernMetricYan Xiaonan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.46Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mackenzie DernYan Xiaonan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)Yan Xiaonan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +21.3|Blue -21.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mackenzie DernTargetYan Xiaonan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yan Xiaonan edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control1:01
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 2Mackenzie Dern edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control2:44
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:50Control
Round 3Yan Xiaonan edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control0:12
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 4Yan Xiaonan edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:47
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:28Control
Round 5Mackenzie Dern edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control4:35
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
