
AI-assisted editorial grounded in Fight Detective’s stored fight and ELO data.
Based on the supplied stats and bout results, Spivac’s UFC profile blends measurable wrestling activity with a strong presence in fights that end before the final horn. He averages 3.82 takedowns per 15 minutes and 0.5 submissions per 15, which supports the observation (from the fight log) that several of his wins have come by submission, including multiple first-round finishes. On the feet, his significant striking output is 3.57 landed per minute while absorbing 4.23 per minute. That differential suggests he can be outlanded over time, although that is a statistical signal rather than a round-by-round guarantee. His listed striking defense is 52%, and his takedown defense is 63%, indicating he stops a meaningful share of attempts but is not shutting opponents down at an elite rate based on these numbers alone. Recent form in the fight log shows volatility: a decision win in 2026 after back-to-back losses in 2025, with a notable first-round submission win in 2024. Overall, the recorded results point to a career where control-and-finish performances can appear alongside bouts where opponents find decisive moments, including several KO/TKO defeats.
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
78%
7W – 2L in 9 fights
As Underdog
33%
2W – 4L in 6 fights
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Rating gained or lost in each fight
Heavyweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill