Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Serghei Spivac has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Serghei Spivac
oldest →W
SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 23L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 23W
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 24L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 25 Waldo Cortes Acosta
oldest →L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Aug 25W
KOvs Ante Delija · Nov 25W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Nov 25W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jan 26L
DECvs Alexander Volkov · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Serghei SpivacMetricWaldo Cortes Acosta
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.66Δ 2.37 — meaningful gap+1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Serghei SpivacWaldo Cortes Acosta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Serghei Spivac(10 fights)Waldo Cortes Acosta(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -55.2|Blue +55.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Serghei SpivacTargetWaldo Cortes Acosta
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Waldo Cortes Acosta rounds
Round 1Waldo Cortes Acosta edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control1:36
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Waldo Cortes Acosta edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:15
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Waldo Cortes Acosta edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:34
47Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
