Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Greg Hardy is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Serghei Spivac has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Serghei Spivac
oldest →L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 23W
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 24L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 25L
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jun 25 Greg HardyL2 streak
oldest →L
DECvs Alekander Volkov · Nov 19W
vs Yorgan De Castro · May 20W
KOvs Maurice Greene · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Dec 20L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Serghei SpivacMetricGreg Hardy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.66Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Serghei SpivacGreg Hardy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Serghei Spivac(10 fights)Greg Hardy(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +87.0|Blue -87.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Serghei SpivacTargetGreg Hardy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Serghei Spivac edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns3
Control1:21
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
