All Fighters
Chris Duncan
6W · 2L
Orthodox
Lightweight
50% finish rate75% as favorite75% as underdog
1533
ELO Rating
Fighter overview
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1533.1Contender→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#13of 100 active
Age
33
May 10, 1993
Height
5'10" (177.8 cm)
Reach
180.34 cm
Win Rate
75.0%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
4.83
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
4.57
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+0.26
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
50%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
2.92
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
55%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.60
Sub_Avg
High-volume strikerActive wrestler
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career statistics
Career Averages (per fight)
4.9
Sig. Strikes
3.5
Takedowns
0.4
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission3 (50%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission2 (100%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
75%
3W – 1L in 4 fights
As Underdog
75%
3W – 1L in 4 fights
ELO analysis
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Renato Moicano
-12.51533
def. Terrance McKinney
+16.61546
def. Mateusz Rebecki
+9.01529
def. Jordan Vucenic
+11.01520
def. Bolaji Oki
+8.51509
lost to Manuel Torres
-5.21501
def. Yanal Ashmouz
+3.31506
def. Omar Morales
+2.41502
Division ELO Rankings
Lightweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Quillan Salkilld
1621
King Green
1565
Tom Nolan
1559
Nurullo Aliev
1556
Mauricio Ruffy
1551
Chris Padilla
1546
Manoel Sousa
1545
Mason Jones
1540
Tofiq Musayev
1540
Professional fight history
Fight History (8 fights)
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 4, 2026
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 2, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
vs Bolaji Oki
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
vs Omar Morales
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023