Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Duncan threatens submissions; Jordan Vucenic has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan Vucenic
oldest →L
vs Guram Kutateladze · Aug 24 Chris Duncan
oldest →L
SUBvs Manuel Torres · Feb 24W
SUBvs Bolaji Oki · Sep 24W
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Aug 25W
SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Dec 25L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan VucenicMetricChris Duncan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jordan VucenicChris Duncan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Vucenic(2 fights)Chris Duncan(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.7|Blue +52.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jordan VucenicTargetChris Duncan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Duncan edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:55Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control0:12
6Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
