Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Duncan threatens submissions; Bolaji Oki has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Bolaji Oki has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bolaji Oki has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bolaji OkiL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Timmy Cuamba · Feb 24W
vs Michael Aswell Jr. · May 25L
KOvs Mason Jones · Sep 25L
KOvs Manoel Sousa · Mar 26 Chris Duncan
oldest →L
SUBvs Manuel Torres · Feb 24W
SUBvs Jordan Vucenic · Mar 25W
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Aug 25W
SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Dec 25L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bolaji OkiMetricChris Duncan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.30Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bolaji OkiChris Duncan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bolaji Oki(5 fights)Chris Duncan(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -64.8|Blue +64.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bolaji OkiTargetChris Duncan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bolaji Oki edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns2
Control1:11
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
