All Fighters
TJ Waldburger
4W · 4L
Orthodox
Welterweight
75% finish rate100% as favorite20% as underdog
1353
ELO Rating
Fighter overview
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1352.7Developing→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
No recent fights — out of active rankings
Age
38
Apr 25, 1988
Height
5'11" (180.34 cm)
Reach
190.5 cm
Win Rate
50.0%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
2.02
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
2.39
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-0.37
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
40%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
3.03
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
40%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
4.80
Sub_Avg
Active wrestlerSubmission threat
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career statistics
Career Averages (per fight)
17.3
Sig. Strikes
2.9
Takedowns
3.5
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission3 (75%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO3 (75%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
100%
3W – 0L in 3 fights
As Underdog
20%
1W – 4L in 5 fights
ELO analysis
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Mike Pyle
0.01500
lost to Adlan Amagov
0.01500
def. Nick Catone
0.01500
lost to Brian Ebersole
0.01500
def. Jake Hecht
0.01500
def. Mike Stumpf
0.01500
lost to Johny Hendricks
0.01500
def. David Mitchell
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Welterweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Uros Medic
1566
Carlos Prates
1565
Islam Makhachev
1564
Gabriel Bonfim
1562
Daniil Donchenko
1559
Mike Malott
1550
Sam Patterson
1549
Michael Morales
1548
Ty Miller
1546
Professional fight history
Fight History (8 fights)
vs Mike Pyle
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · Feb 22, 2014
Loss
View Analysis →vs Adlan Amagov
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · Oct 19, 2013
Loss
View Analysis →vs Nick Catone
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · Dec 15, 2012
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · Jun 22, 2012
Loss
View Analysis →vs Jake Hecht
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · Mar 2, 2012
vs Mike Stumpf
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · Sep 17, 2011
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · Mar 26, 2011
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · Sep 15, 2010