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Paul Kelly

Paul Kelly

2W · 2L
Orthodox
Lightweight
100% finish rate50% as favorite50% as underdog
50%wins
1490
ELO Rating

Fighter overview

ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →

1490.1Developing→

Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified

Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →

No recent fights — out of active rankings

Age

42
Sep 12, 1984

Height

5'9" (175.26 cm)

Reach

177.8 cm

Win Rate

50.0%

Output & Defense

Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)

Strikes landed / min
3.22
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+0.61
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
59%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
1.34
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
30%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.50
Sub_Avg
Submission threat

Head-to-Head Comparison

Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side

Career statistics

Career Averages (per fight)

37.9
Sig. Strikes
1.3
Takedowns
0.9
Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO1 (50%)
Submission1 (50%)
Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission1 (50%)
Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

50%

1W – 1L in 2 fights

As Underdog

50%

1W – 1L in 2 fights

ELO analysis

ELO Trajectory

Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details

Mid14801488149515101490Apr 10Aug 10Nov 10Feb 11
WinLossDrawCurrent ELO4 fights

Elo Changes

Rating gained or lost in each fight

lost to Donald Cerrone
Feb 5, 2011
0.01500
def. TJ O'Brien
Nov 20, 2010
0.01500
lost to Jacob Volkmann
Aug 1, 2010
0.01500
def. Matt Veach
Apr 10, 2010
0.01500

Division ELO Rankings

Lightweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill

#1Quillan Salkilld
1621
↗
#2King Green
1565
↗
#3Tom Nolan
1559
↗
#4Nurullo Aliev
1556
↗
#5Mauricio Ruffy
1551
↗
#6Chris Padilla
1546
↗
#7Manoel Sousa
1545
↗
#8Benoit Saint Denis
1544
#9Mason Jones
1540
↗
#10Tofiq Musayev
1540
↗

Showing top 10 of 100 active fighters · Full rankings →

Professional fight history

Fight History (4 fights)

vs Donald Cerrone
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · Feb 5, 2011
Lightweight
Loss
SUB · Rnd 2View Analysis →
vs TJ O'Brien
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · Nov 20, 2010
Lightweight
Win
KO/TKO · Rnd 2View Analysis →
vs Jacob Volkmann
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · Aug 1, 2010
Lightweight
Loss
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
vs Matt Veach
UFC 112: Invincible · Apr 10, 2010
Lightweight
Win
SUB · Rnd 2View Analysis →