All Fighters
Francis Marshall
4W · 3L
Orthodox
Lightweight
Featherweight
50% finish rate60% as favorite0% as underdog
1522
ELO Rating
Fighter overview
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1522.0Contender↗
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#28of 98 active
Age
27
Mar 3, 1999
Height
5'9" (175.26 cm)
Reach
182.88 cm
Win Rate
57.1%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
3.19
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
3.45
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-0.26
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
55%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
2.71
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
88%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.50
Sub_Avg
Active wrestlerElite TD defense
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career statistics
Career Averages (per fight)
3.6
Sig. Strikes
2.7
Takedowns
0.5
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO1 (25%)
Submission1 (25%)
Decision1 (25%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO1 (33%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
60%
3W – 2L in 5 fights
As Underdog
0%
0W – 1L in 1 fights
ELO analysis
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
def. Lucas Brennan
+14.21522
def. Erik Silva
+15.01508
lost to Mairon Santos
-9.61493
def. Dennis Buzukja
+6.71503
lost to Isaac Dulgarian
-4.01496
lost to William Gomis
-2.71500
def. Marcelo Rojo
+2.51503
Division ELO Rankings
Lightweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Quillan Salkilld
1602
King Green
1568
Tom Nolan
1562
Nurullo Aliev
1559
Mauricio Ruffy
1553
Chris Padilla
1548
Mason Jones
1542
Paddy Pimblett
1541
Justin Gaethje
1541
Professional fight history
Fight History (7 fights)
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
vs Erik Silva
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →vs Marcelo Rojo
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 3, 2022