Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Marshall has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcelo RojoL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Charles Jourdain · Mar 21L
SUBvs Kyler Phillips · Feb 22 Francis MarshallW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Isaac Dulgarian · Aug 23W
vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 24L
vs Mairon Santos · Mar 25W
SUBvs Erik Silva · Feb 26W
DECvs Lucas Brennan · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcelo RojoMetricFrancis Marshall
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.50Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcelo RojoFrancis Marshall
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcelo Rojo(3 fights)Francis Marshall(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -81.1|Blue +81.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcelo RojoTargetFrancis Marshall
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:43Control
Round 2Francis Marshall edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
