Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mairon Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Francis Marshall enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Mairon Santos has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francis Marshall has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mairon SantosW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · May 25W
KOvs Muhammad Naimov · Dec 25 Francis MarshallW3 streak
oldest →L
vs William Gomis · Apr 23L
KOvs Isaac Dulgarian · Aug 23W
vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 24W
SUBvs Erik Silva · Feb 26W
DECvs Lucas Brennan · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mairon SantosMetricFrancis Marshall
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.09Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mairon SantosFrancis Marshall
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mairon Santos(4 fights)Francis Marshall(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +35.7|Blue -35.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mairon SantosTargetFrancis Marshall
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:02
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Mairon Santos edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:22Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
