All Fighters
Sage Northcutt
6W · 2L
Orthodox
Welterweight
Lightweight
50% finish rate86% as favorite0% as underdog
1491
ELO Rating
Fighter overview
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1491.1Developing→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
No recent fights — out of active rankings
Age
30
Mar 1, 1996
Height
6'0" (182.88 cm)
Reach
180.34 cm
Win Rate
75.0%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
3.58
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
1.96
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+1.62
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
58%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
1.81
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
41%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.60
Sub_Avg
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career statistics
Career Averages (per fight)
22.6
Sig. Strikes
1.1
Takedowns
0.3
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO2 (33%)
Submission1 (17%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission2 (100%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
86%
6W – 1L in 7 fights
As Underdog
0%
0W – 1L in 1 fights
ELO analysis
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
def. Zak Ottow
+0.11500
def. Thibault Gouti
+0.11500
def. Michel Quinones
+0.11500
lost to Mickey Gall
0.01500
def. Enrique Marin
0.01500
lost to Bryan Barberena
0.01500
def. Cody Pfister
0.01500
def. Francisco Trevino
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Welterweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Carlos Prates
1567
Gabriel Bonfim
1565
Daniil Donchenko
1562
Mike Malott
1552
Sam Patterson
1552
Michael Morales
1551
Myktybek Orolbai
1549
Jacobe Smith
1546
Yaroslav Amosov
1545
Professional fight history
Fight History (8 fights)
vs Zak Ottow
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · Jul 14, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · Feb 18, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · Nov 11, 2017
vs Mickey Gall
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · Dec 17, 2016
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · Jul 9, 2016
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · Jan 30, 2016
Loss
View Analysis →vs Cody Pfister
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Dec 10, 2015
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · Oct 3, 2015