Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zak Ottow has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sage NorthcuttW2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Jan 16W
vs Enrique Marin · Jul 16L
SUBvs Mickey Gall · Dec 16W
vs Michel Quinones · Nov 17W
vs Thibault Gouti · Feb 18 Zak Ottow
oldest →W
vs Kiichi Kunimoto · Jun 17L
KOvs Li Jingliang · Nov 17W
vs Dwight Grant · Dec 18L
KOvs Alex Morono · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sage NorthcuttMetricZak Ottow
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.62Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sage NorthcuttZak Ottow
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sage Northcutt(8 fights)Zak Ottow(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +13.0|Blue -13.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sage NorthcuttTargetZak Ottow
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Zak Ottow edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:38
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:59Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Sage Northcutt edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control0:56
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:14Control
0Knockdowns
