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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Serghei Spivac won · U-DEC R3

Elo1506

Elo1481

Serghei SpivacvsAnte DelijaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Saturday, February 21, 2026Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Serghei Spivac won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSerghei Spivac: WrestlervsAnte Delija: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Serghei Spivac wins(71.6%)

Actual result: Serghei Spivac wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Serghei Spivac at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ante Delija is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Serghei Spivac has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Serghei Spivac

Red Corner

Ante Delija

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-118

(54%)

1506

Elo

1481

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

198.12 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Serghei SpivacL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 23

KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 23

SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 24

KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 25

vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jun 25

latest

Ante Delija

oldest →

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Sep 25

KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Serghei SpivacMetricAnte Delija

3.57

Strikes / min

4.28

4.23

Strikes absorbed / min

3.95

52%

Strike defense

52%

3.82

TDs / 15 min

0.00

63%

Takedown defense

75%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.66evenly matched on net striking+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Serghei SpivacAnte Delija

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Serghei Spivac(10 fights)Ante Delija(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +25.7|Blue -25.7

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Serghei SpivacTargetAnte Delija

By target zone

45% acc · 97%

Head

34% acc · 92%

33% acc · 1%

Body

83% acc · 8%

100% acc · 1%

Leg

By position

45% acc · 100%

Distance

35% acc · 95%

0% acc

Clinch

75% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Serghei Spivac rounds

even

Ante Delija rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Ante Delija edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:08

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 3Serghei Spivac edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns1

Control1:52

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 149

Sig Strikes

61 / 172

44.7%

Sig Str %

34.7%

102 / 185

Total Strikes

61 / 173

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:00

Ctrl Time

0:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ante Delija	19 / 58	19 / 58	0 / 0
1	Serghei Spivac	20 / 46	20 / 46	0 / 0
2	Ante Delija	26 / 63	26 / 64	0 / 0
2	Serghei Spivac	20 / 41	34 / 55	0 / 0
3	Ante Delija	16 / 51	16 / 51	0 / 0
3	Serghei Spivac	27 / 62	48 / 84	1 / 4

Serghei Spivac

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15

Ante Delija

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights3