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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Mackenzie Dern won · S-DEC R3
Elo1521
Mackenzie Dern editorial illustration
Elo1495

Mackenzie DernvsTecia TorresUFC Prediction Result

UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, April 9, 2022Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Mackenzie Dern won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tecia Torres wins(52.8%)

Actual result: Mackenzie Dern wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tecia Torres at +105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Tecia Torres enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Mackenzie Dern
Red Corner
VS
Tecia Torres
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1521
Elo
1495
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'1"
160.02 cm
Reach
152.4 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23
L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24
W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24
W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25
W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25
latest
Tecia TorresW3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Weili Zhang · Mar 19
L
vs Marina Rodriguez · Aug 19
W
vs Brianna Van Buren · Jun 20
W
KOvs Sam Hughes · Dec 20
W
vs Angela Hill · Aug 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mackenzie DernMetricTecia Torres
3.47
Strikes / min
—
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
—
51%
Strike defense
—
0.93
TDs / 15 min
—
37%
Takedown defense
—
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1553 vs 1554Strikes3.4 vs 4.8Takedowns0.9 vs 0.6Sub Atts1.20 vs 0.10Form0.3 vs 0.8
Mackenzie DernTecia Torres

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)Tecia Torres(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +25.9|Blue -25.9
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Mackenzie Dern

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights16

Tecia Torres

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach60.0"
Fights3