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Featherweight

3 Rounds

William Gomis won · S-DEC R3

Elo1522

Elo1506

Francis MarshallvsWilliam GomisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Saturday, April 22, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

William Gomis won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupFrancis Marshall: WrestlervsWilliam Gomis: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Francis Marshall wins(50.5%)

Actual result: William Gomis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Francis Marshall at -196 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors William Gomis (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Francis Marshall

Red Corner

William Gomis

Blue Corner

-196

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+164

(38%)

1522

Elo

1506

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

6'0"

182.88 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Francis MarshallW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Isaac Dulgarian · Aug 23

vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 24

vs Mairon Santos · Mar 25

SUBvs Erik Silva · Feb 26

DECvs Lucas Brennan · Apr 26

latest

William Gomis

oldest →

KOvs Yanis Ghemmouri · Sep 23

vs Joanderson Brito · Sep 24

vs Hyder Amil · Mar 25

vs Robert Ruchala · Sep 25

DECvs Pat Sabatini · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Francis MarshallMetricWilliam Gomis

3.19

Strikes / min

3.20

3.45

Strikes absorbed / min

2.60

55%

Strike defense

61%

2.71

TDs / 15 min

0.73

88%

Takedown defense

77%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Francis MarshallWilliam Gomis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Francis Marshall(7 fights)William Gomis(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.4|Blue -16.4

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Francis MarshallTargetWilliam Gomis

By target zone

8% acc · 67%

Head

13% acc · 22%

50% acc · 27%

Body

47% acc · 30%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

87% acc · 48%

By position

10% acc · 87%

Distance

35% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

67% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Francis Marshall rounds

even

William Gomis rounds

Round 1Francis Marshall edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control1:16

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2William Gomis edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:11

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Round 3Francis Marshall edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns2

Control2:53

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 132

Sig Strikes

27 / 79

11%

Sig Str %

33.3%

35 / 165

Total Strikes

30 / 84

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:20

Ctrl Time

0:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	William Gomis	5 / 20	5 / 22	0 / 0	0
1	Francis Marshall	5 / 47	12 / 60	0 / 1	0
2	William Gomis	12 / 34	14 / 36	0 / 0	0
2	Francis Marshall	6 / 56	6 / 56	0 / 0	0
3	William Gomis	10 / 25	11 / 26	0 / 0	0
3	Francis Marshall	4 / 29	17 / 49	2 / 4	2

Francis Marshall

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7

William Gomis

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7