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FIGHTDETECTIVE
All Fighters

Rafael Estevam

3W · 1L
Orthodox
Bantamweight
Flyweight
0% finish rate100% as favorite0% as underdog
75%wins
1504
ELO Rating

Fighter overview

ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →

1503.9Mid-tier→

Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified

Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →

#54of 105 active
Bantamweight rankings →

Age

29
Aug 10, 1996

Height

5'8" (172.72 cm)

Reach

175.26 cm

Win Rate

75.0%

Output & Defense

Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)

Strikes landed / min
2.40
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
3.90
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-1.50
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
45%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
4.91
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
66%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.20
Sub_Avg
Active wrestler

Head-to-Head Comparison

Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side

Career statistics

Career Averages (per fight)

2.3
Sig. Strikes
5.3
Takedowns
0.4
Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO1 (100%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

100%

3W – 0L in 3 fights

As Underdog

0%

0W – 1L in 1 fights

ELO analysis

ELO Trajectory

Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details

Cont.Mid14901515152815401504Nov 23Feb 25Aug 25Apr 26
WinLossDrawCurrent ELO4 fights

Elo Changes

Rating gained or lost in each fight

lost to Ethyn Ewing
Apr 4, 2026
-22.61504
def. Felipe Bunes
Aug 2, 2025
+13.11526
def. Jesus Aguilar
Feb 15, 2025
+9.41513
def. Charles Johnson
Nov 18, 2023
+4.01504

Division ELO Rankings

Bantamweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill

#1Farid Basharat
1576
↗
#2Joselyne Edwards
1567
↗
#3Bia Mesquita
1565
↗
#4Mario Bautista
1554
↗
#5Luana Santos
1550
↗
#6Raoni Barcelos
1550
↗
#7Elijah Smith
1549
↗
#8David Martinez
1545
↗
#9Raul Rosas Jr.
1544
↗
#10Merab Dvalishvili
1542

Showing top 10 of 105 active fighters · Full rankings →

Professional fight history

Fight History (4 fights)

vs Ethyn Ewing
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 4, 2026
Bantamweight
Loss
KO/TKO · Rnd 3View Analysis →
vs Felipe Bunes
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 2, 2025
Flyweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
vs Jesus Aguilar
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Flyweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
vs Charles Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Flyweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →