← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Zubaira Tukhugov won · S-DEC R3

Elo1496

Elo1359

Zubaira TukhugovvsPhillipe NoverUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Thursday, December 10, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Zubaira Tukhugov won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Phillipe Nover wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Zubaira Tukhugov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Phillipe Nover at +295 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zubaira Tukhugov has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Phillipe Nover has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Zubaira Tukhugov

Red Corner

Phillipe Nover

Blue Corner

-355

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+295

(25%)

1496

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

172.72 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zubaira Tukhugov

oldest →

vs Renato Moicano · May 16

KOvs Kevin Aguilar · Feb 20

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Sep 20

vs Ricardo Ramos · Oct 21

vs Elves Brener · Feb 23

latest

Phillipe NoverL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yui Chul Nam · May 15

vs Renan Barao · Sep 16

vs Rick Glenn · Feb 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zubaira TukhugovMetricPhillipe Nover

3.17

Strikes / min

1.79

3.07

Strikes absorbed / min

2.48

63%

Strike defense

56%

2.13

TDs / 15 min

0.99

100%

Takedown defense

44%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zubaira TukhugovPhillipe Nover

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zubaira Tukhugov(8 fights)Phillipe Nover(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.9|Blue -136.9

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +224.0|Blue -224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zubaira TukhugovTargetPhillipe Nover

By target zone

21% acc · 71%

Head

12% acc · 30%

33% acc · 14%

Body

52% acc · 65%

75% acc · 14%

Leg

50% acc · 5%

By position

21% acc · 76%

Distance

26% acc · 95%

60% acc · 14%

Clinch

33% acc · 5%

67% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zubaira Tukhugov rounds

even

Phillipe Nover rounds

Round 1Zubaira Tukhugov edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:05

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:07

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control0:26

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 83

Sig Strikes

20 / 77

24.3%

Sig Str %

28.3%

23 / 86

Total Strikes

20 / 78

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 5

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:38

Ctrl Time

0:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Phillipe Nover	3 / 30	3 / 30	0 / 0
1	Zubaira Tukhugov	6 / 28	7 / 29	0 / 0
2	Phillipe Nover	9 / 19	9 / 20	0 / 3
2	Zubaira Tukhugov	10 / 34	10 / 34	0 / 0
3	Phillipe Nover	8 / 28	8 / 28	0 / 2
3	Zubaira Tukhugov	5 / 21	6 / 23	1 / 1

Zubaira Tukhugov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8

Phillipe Nover

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4