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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alonzo Menifield won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1489

Elo1525

Zhang MingyangvsAlonzo MenifieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 30, 2026Macau, China

Official fight result

Alonzo Menifield won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:15

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Alonzo Menifield

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Alonzo Menifield at +216 American odds · hypothetical only

+$216 profit

$316 total returned

Style matchupZhang Mingyang: Pressure fightervsAlonzo Menifield: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Zhang Mingyang wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Alonzo Menifield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zhang Mingyang is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Alonzo Menifield has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Zhang Mingyang

Red Corner

Alonzo Menifield

Blue Corner

-266

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+216

(32%)

1489

Elo

1525

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zhang Mingyang

oldest →

KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Feb 24

KOvs Ozzy Diaz · Nov 24

KOvs Anthony Smith · Apr 25

KOvs Johnny Walker · Aug 25

latest

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · May 24

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zhang MingyangMetricAlonzo Menifield

7.71

Strikes / min

3.77

5.33

Strikes absorbed / min

3.81

43%

Strike defense

50%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.50

75%

Takedown defense

78%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.38Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap-0.04

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zhang Mingyang(5 fights)Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -36.2|Blue +36.2

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zhang MingyangTargetAlonzo Menifield

By target zone

10% acc · 13%

Head

52% acc · 93%

87% acc · 81%

Body

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

26% acc · 44%

Distance

52% acc · 82%

90% acc · 56%

Clinch

40% acc · 7%

Ground

100% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zhang Mingyang rounds

even

Alonzo Menifield rounds

Round 1Alonzo Menifield edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:43

Knockdowns0

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:47Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 37

Sig Strikes

28 / 52

43%

Sig Str %

53%

28 / 51

Total Strikes

42 / 68

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:43

Ctrl Time

1:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alonzo Menifield	28 / 52	42 / 68	0 / 0	0
1	Zhang Mingyang	16 / 37	28 / 51	0 / 0	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Zhang Mingyang

Odds

-266

Market-implied probability

Alonzo Menifield 30%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Zhang Mingyang$138

Alonzo Menifield (model pick · research)$316

30% market-implied · model 44% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked May 29, 2026, 3:48 PM UTC · never rewritten

Zhang Mingyang

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights5

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17