← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Danny Roberts won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1388

Elo1467

Zelim ImadaevvsDanny RobertsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · Saturday, November 9, 2019Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Danny Roberts won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:54

Model Prediction: Danny Roberts wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Danny Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Danny Roberts at +200 American odds

+$200 profit

$300 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Danny Roberts enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Danny Roberts (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Zelim Imadaev

Red Corner

Danny Roberts

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1388

Elo

1467

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zelim ImadaevL2 streak

oldest →

vs Max Griffin · Apr 19

SUBvs Michel Pereira · Sep 20

latest

Danny RobertsL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Michel Pereira · May 19

vs Ramazan Emeev · Oct 21

vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 22

KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 22

KOvs Jonny Parsons · Jul 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zelim ImadaevMetricDanny Roberts

2.91

Strikes / min

3.18

4.35

Strikes absorbed / min

3.73

43%

Strike defense

50%

0.38

TDs / 15 min

0.24

60%

Takedown defense

57%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.44evenly matched on net striking-0.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zelim ImadaevDanny Roberts

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zelim Imadaev(3 fights)Danny Roberts(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -79.2|Blue +79.2

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zelim ImadaevTargetDanny Roberts

By target zone

28% acc · 54%

Head

29% acc · 27%

83% acc · 36%

Body

100% acc · 46%

60% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 27%

By position

33% acc · 68%

Distance

45% acc · 49%

82% acc · 32%

Clinch

90% acc · 51%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zelim Imadaev rounds

even

Danny Roberts rounds

Round 1Danny Roberts edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control1:01

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:41Control

Round 2Danny Roberts edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:30

Knockdowns0

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:37Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 71

Sig Strikes

37 / 61

39.5%

Sig Str %

60.5%

38 / 84

Total Strikes

42 / 68

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 8

100%

TD %

12.5%

Sub Att

Rev

2:31

Ctrl Time

2:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Danny Roberts	18 / 28	21 / 31	1 / 4
1	Zelim Imadaev	15 / 42	18 / 48	0 / 0
2	Danny Roberts	19 / 33	21 / 37	0 / 4
2	Zelim Imadaev	13 / 29	20 / 36	1 / 1

Zelim Imadaev

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3

Danny Roberts

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14