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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Zak Cummings won · SUB R3

Elo1499

Elo1490

Zak CummingsvsTrevin GilesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · Saturday, May 18, 2019Rochester, New York, USA

Official fight result

Zak Cummings won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:01

Style matchupZak Cummings: Well-roundedvsTrevin Giles: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Trevin Giles wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Zak Cummings wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Trevin Giles at -200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Zak Cummings threatens submissions; Trevin Giles has lost 43% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Zak Cummings (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Zak Cummings

Red Corner

Trevin Giles

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1499

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zak CummingsW2 streak

oldest →

vs Michel Prazeres · May 18

vs Trevor Smith · Dec 18

vs Omari Akhmedov · Sep 19

vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 20

KOvs Ed Herman · Apr 23

latest

Trevin GilesL3 streak

oldest →

vs Louis Cosce · Sep 22

vs Preston Parsons · Mar 23

SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 23

KOvs Carlos Prates · Feb 24

vs Mike Malott · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zak CummingsMetricTrevin Giles

2.96

Strikes / min

3.17

2.91

Strikes absorbed / min

2.39

55%

Strike defense

58%

0.62

TDs / 15 min

1.07

66%

Takedown defense

72%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.05evenly matched on net striking+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zak CummingsTrevin Giles

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zak Cummings(10 fights)Trevin Giles(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.7|Blue -9.7

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -371.0|Blue +371.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zak CummingsTargetTrevin Giles

By target zone

15% acc · 29%

Head

43% acc · 68%

69% acc · 32%

Body

58% acc · 23%

76% acc · 38%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

30% acc · 82%

Distance

48% acc · 94%

75% acc · 18%

Clinch

67% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zak Cummings rounds

even

Trevin Giles rounds

Round 1Trevin Giles edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:12

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 2Zak Cummings edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:09

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Zak Cummings edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 100

Sig Strikes

31 / 64

34%

Sig Str %

49%

41 / 107

Total Strikes

36 / 69

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:26

Ctrl Time

0:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Trevin Giles	13 / 20	13 / 20	0 / 0	0
1	Zak Cummings	9 / 26	13 / 30	0 / 0	0
2	Trevin Giles	9 / 20	14 / 25	0 / 0	0
2	Zak Cummings	11 / 40	14 / 43	0 / 1	0
3	Trevin Giles	9 / 24	9 / 24	0 / 0	0
3	Zak Cummings	14 / 34	14 / 34	0 / 1	1

Zak Cummings

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights14

Trevin Giles

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14