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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Zak Cummings won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1499

Elo1361

Zak CummingsvsDominique SteeleUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · Saturday, July 25, 2015Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Zak Cummings won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:43

Style matchupZak Cummings: Well-roundedvsDominique Steele: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Zak Cummings wins(74.4%)

Actual result: Zak Cummings wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zak Cummings at -380 American odds

+$26 profit

$126 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dominique Steele enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Zak Cummings (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Zak Cummings

Red Corner

Dominique Steele

Blue Corner

-380

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+340

(23%)

1499

Elo

1361

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zak CummingsW2 streak

oldest →

vs Trevor Smith · Dec 18

SUBvs Trevin Giles · May 19

vs Omari Akhmedov · Sep 19

vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 20

KOvs Ed Herman · Apr 23

latest

Dominique SteeleL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Nov 15

vs Danny Roberts · Apr 16

vs Court McGee · Aug 16

vs Luke Jumeau · Jun 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zak CummingsMetricDominique Steele

2.96

Strikes / min

2.32

2.91

Strikes absorbed / min

2.42

55%

Strike defense

50%

0.62

TDs / 15 min

2.95

66%

Takedown defense

76%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.05evenly matched on net striking-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zak CummingsDominique Steele

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zak Cummings(10 fights)Dominique Steele(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +138.7|Blue -138.7

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zak CummingsTargetDominique Steele

By target zone

47% acc · 100%

Head

100% acc · 50%

Body

100% acc · 50%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 14%

Distance

100% acc · 100%

50% acc · 86%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zak Cummings rounds

even

Dominique Steele rounds

Round 1Zak Cummings edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 30

Sig Strikes

2 / 2

46%

Sig Str %

100%

16 / 33

Total Strikes

2 / 2

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dominique Steele	2 / 2	2 / 2	0 / 0	0
1	Zak Cummings	14 / 30	16 / 33	0 / 0	0

Zak Cummings

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights14

Dominique Steele

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5