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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Zak Cummings won · Submission R1
Elo1499
Zak Cummings
Elo1352
Benny Alloway

Zak CummingsvsBenny AllowayUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · Wednesday, August 28, 2013Indianapolis, Indiana, USA

Official fight result

Zak Cummings won

Submission · Round 1 · 4:19

Model Prediction: Benny Alloway wins(59.2%)

Actual result: Zak Cummings wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Benny Alloway at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Zak Cummings threatens submissions; Benny Alloway has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Zak Cummings (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Zak Cummings
Red Corner
VS
Benny Alloway
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
1499
Elo
1352
41
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zak CummingsW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Trevor Smith · Dec 18
W
SUBvs Trevin Giles · May 19
L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Sep 19
W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 20
W
KOvs Ed Herman · Apr 23
latest
Benny Alloway
oldest →
W
KOvs Manuel Rodriguez · Dec 12
L
DECvs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zak CummingsMetricBenny Alloway
2.96
Strikes / min
—
2.91
Strikes absorbed / min
—
55%
Strike defense
—
0.62
TDs / 15 min
—
66%
Takedown defense
—
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1499Strikes— vs 12.5Takedowns— vs 0.5Sub Atts— vs 0.00Form0.0 vs -0.1
Zak CummingsBenny Alloway

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Zak Cummings(10 fights)Benny Alloway(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +146.9|Blue -146.9
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +49.3|Blue -49.3
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Zak Cummings

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14

Benny Alloway

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1