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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Zachary Reese won · U-DEC R3
Elo1510
Zachary Reese
Elo1428
Jose Daniel Medina

Zachary ReesevsJose Daniel MedinaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Saturday, August 24, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Zachary Reese won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Zachary Reese wins(92.7%)

Actual result: Zachary Reese wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zachary Reese at -900 American odds

+$11 profit

$111 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jose Daniel Medina enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Zachary Reese is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jose Daniel Medina has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Zachary Reese (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Zachary Reese
Red Corner
VS
Jose Daniel Medina
Blue Corner
-900
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+600
(14%)
1510
Elo
1428
30
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zachary Reese
oldest →
L
KOvs Cody Brundage · Dec 23
W
KOvs Julian Marquez · Jun 24
latest
Jose Daniel MedinaL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Ateba Gautier · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Dusko Todorovic · Sep 25
L
KOvs Ryan Gandra · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zachary ReeseMetricJose Daniel Medina
Strikes / min
2.13
Strikes absorbed / min
5.34
Strike defense
46%
TDs / 15 min
0.39
Takedown defense
27%
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes5.1 vs 1.9Takedowns4.1 vs 0.5Sub Atts2.50 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs 0.0
Zachary ReeseJose Daniel Medina

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14101440147015001530← oldermost recent →
Zachary Reese(3 fights)Jose Daniel Medina(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +82.7|Blue -82.7
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Zachary Reese

StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2

Jose Daniel Medina

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4