Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Middleweight
3 Rounds
No Contest won · CNC R1
Elo1475
Zach Reese editorial illustration
Elo1467

Zach ReesevsSedriques DumasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Saturday, September 13, 2025San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

No Contest

CNC · Round 1 · 0:51

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Zach Reese threatens submissions; Sedriques Dumas has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Sedriques Dumas has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Zach Reese has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Zach Reese (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Zach Reese
Red Corner
VS
Sedriques Dumas
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+194
(34%)
1475
Elo
1467
32
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zach ReeseL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Azamat Bekoev · Jan 25
W
vs Dusko Todorovic · May 25
W
SUBvs Jackson McVey · Nov 25
L
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 26
L
KOvs Ryan Gandra · Jul 26
latest
Sedriques DumasL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Mar 24
W
vs Denis Tiuliulin · Aug 24
L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 25
L
SUBvs Donte Johnson · Nov 25
L
SUBvs Jackson McVey · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zach ReeseMetricSedriques Dumas
4.48
Strikes / min
1.97
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
43%
Strike defense
53%
2.80
TDs / 15 min
1.30
52%
Takedown defense
33%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.56Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.67

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1495Strikes4.5 vs 2.0Takedowns2.8 vs 1.3Sub Atts1.30 vs 0.20Form0.2 vs -0.2
Zach ReeseSedriques Dumas

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501473149515181540← oldermost recent →
Zach Reese(5 fights)Sedriques Dumas(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +7.7|Blue -7.7
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zach ReeseTargetSedriques Dumas

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
1
13% acc · 33%
1
33% acc · 50%
Body
0
1
100% acc · 50%
Leg
2
100% acc · 67%

By position

2
29% acc · 100%
Distance
3
30% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Zach Reese rounds
1
even
0
Sedriques Dumas rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
2 / 7
Sig Strikes
3 / 10
28%
Sig Str %
30%
2 / 7
Total Strikes
3 / 10
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Sedriques Dumas3 / 103 / 100 / 00
1Zach Reese2 / 72 / 70 / 00

Zach Reese

StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights6

Sedriques Dumas

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights9