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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Zach Reese won · U-DEC R3

Elo1475

Elo1494

Zach ReesevsDusko TodorovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · Saturday, May 31, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Zach Reese won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupZach Reese: WrestlervsDusko Todorovic: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Zach Reese wins(57.3%)

Actual result: Zach Reese wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zach Reese at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dusko Todorovic is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Zach Reese has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Zach Reese (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Zach Reese

Red Corner

Dusko Todorovic

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+176

(36%)

1475

Elo

1494

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'1"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zach ReeseL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Azamat Bekoev · Jan 25

vs Sedriques Dumas · Sep 25

SUBvs Jackson McVey · Nov 25

vs Michel Pereira · Feb 26

KOvs Ryan Gandra · Jul 26

latest

Dusko Todorovic

oldest →

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · May 22

KOvs Jordan Wright · Oct 22

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 23

KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Nov 24

SUBvs Jose Daniel Medina · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zach ReeseMetricDusko Todorovic

4.48

Strikes / min

4.73

3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

4.40

43%

Strike defense

48%

2.80

TDs / 15 min

1.77

52%

Takedown defense

42%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.56evenly matched on net striking+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zach ReeseDusko Todorovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zach Reese(5 fights)Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -19.5|Blue +19.5

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zach ReeseTargetDusko Todorovic

By target zone

29% acc · 42%

Head

44% acc · 63%

87% acc · 40%

Body

80% acc · 23%

69% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

44% acc · 86%

Distance

44% acc · 63%

70% acc · 14%

Clinch

100% acc · 17%

Ground

78% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zach Reese rounds

even

Dusko Todorovic rounds

Round 1Dusko Todorovic edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control1:06

10Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:01Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:10Control

Round 3Zach Reese edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:13

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 108

Sig Strikes

35 / 65

50%

Sig Str %

55.3%

73 / 135

Total Strikes

73 / 109

2 / 3

TDs

4 / 13

50%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:19

Ctrl Time

5:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dusko Todorovic	10 / 15	31 / 38	3 / 4	1
1	Zach Reese	6 / 11	19 / 27	2 / 2	0
2	Dusko Todorovic	8 / 16	18 / 29	1 / 4	0
2	Zach Reese	17 / 30	25 / 38	0 / 0	0
3	Dusko Todorovic	17 / 34	24 / 42	0 / 5	0
3	Zach Reese	27 / 67	29 / 70	0 / 1	0

Zach Reese

StanceSwitch

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights6

Dusko Todorovic

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10