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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Zach Makovsky won · U-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1500

Zach MakovskyvsTim ElliottUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · Saturday, February 14, 2015Broomfield, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Zach Makovsky won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupZach Makovsky: WrestlervsTim Elliott: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Tim Elliott wins(54.8%)

Actual result: Zach Makovsky wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tim Elliott at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Zach Makovsky

Red Corner

Tim Elliott

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1359

Elo

1500

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'4"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zach MakovskyL4 streak

oldest →

DECvs Joshua Sampo · Feb 14

vs Jussier Formiga · Aug 14

vs John Dodson · May 15

vs Joseph Benavidez · Feb 16

vs Dustin Ortiz · Dec 16

latest

Tim Elliott

oldest →

vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23

SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23

SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23

SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25

DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zach MakovskyMetricTim Elliott

1.94

Strikes / min

3.51

2.24

Strikes absorbed / min

3.00

62%

Strike defense

56%

3.71

TDs / 15 min

3.61

56%

Takedown defense

59%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zach MakovskyTim Elliott

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zach Makovsky(7 fights)Tim Elliott(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -141.4|Blue +141.4

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -2.3|Blue +2.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -112.0|Blue +112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zach MakovskyTargetTim Elliott

By target zone

54% acc · 67%

Head

43% acc · 72%

100% acc · 14%

Body

73% acc · 19%

100% acc · 19%

Leg

80% acc · 9%

By position

44% acc · 38%

Distance

38% acc · 47%

75% acc · 14%

Clinch

53% acc · 19%

91% acc · 48%

Ground

71% acc · 35%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zach Makovsky rounds

even

Tim Elliott rounds

Round 1Zach Makovsky edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns3

Control3:48

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Tim Elliott edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns2

Control2:26

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 3Zach Makovsky edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control3:44

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:56Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 33

Sig Strikes

43 / 88

75%

Sig Str %

44.7%

61 / 77

Total Strikes

152 / 199

6 / 11

TDs

1 / 2

61%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

9:58

Ctrl Time

1:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tim Elliott	14 / 33	57 / 77	0 / 0
1	Zach Makovsky	9 / 12	42 / 48	3 / 3
2	Tim Elliott	25 / 44	74 / 94	0 / 1
2	Zach Makovsky	9 / 18	15 / 24	2 / 6
3	Tim Elliott	4 / 11	21 / 28	1 / 1
3	Zach Makovsky	3 / 3	4 / 5	1 / 2

Zach Makovsky

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights7

Tim Elliott

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights21