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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Zach Makovsky won · Decision R3
Elo1359
Elo1355

Zach MakovskyvsJoshua SampoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · Saturday, February 22, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Zach Makovsky won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Joshua Sampo wins(53.6%)

Actual result: Zach Makovsky wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joshua Sampo at +210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Zach Makovsky enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Zach Makovsky (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Zach Makovsky
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Sampo
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
1359
Elo
1355
43
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
162.56 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zach MakovskyL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Jussier Formiga · Aug 14
W
vs Tim Elliott · Feb 15
L
vs John Dodson · May 15
L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Feb 16
L
vs Dustin Ortiz · Dec 16
latest
Joshua SampoL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Ryan Benoit · Nov 13
L
SUBvs Paddy Holohan · Jul 14
L
DECvs Justin Scoggins · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zach MakovskyMetricJoshua Sampo
1.94
Strikes / min
—
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
—
62%
Strike defense
—
3.71
TDs / 15 min
—
56%
Takedown defense
—
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1516Strikes26.0 vs 28.0Takedowns6.0 vs 2.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 5.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Zach MakovskyJoshua Sampo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Zach Makovsky(7 fights)Joshua Sampo(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +4.0|Blue -4.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Zach Makovsky

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights7

Joshua Sampo

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights2