← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Zabit Magomedsharipov won · SUB R3

Elo1492

Elo1374

Zabit MagomedsharipovvsSheymon MoraesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · Saturday, November 25, 2017Shanghai, Hebei, China

Official fight result

Zabit Magomedsharipov won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:30

Style matchupZabit Magomedsharipov: WrestlervsSheymon Moraes: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins(74.7%)

Actual result: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zabit Magomedsharipov at -500 American odds

+$20 profit

$120 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zabit Magomedsharipov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Zabit Magomedsharipov threatens submissions; Sheymon Moraes has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Zabit Magomedsharipov has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Zabit Magomedsharipov

Red Corner

Sheymon Moraes

Blue Corner

-500

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+400

(20%)

1492

Elo

1374

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zabit MagomedsharipovW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Mike Santiago · Sep 17

vs Kyle Bochniak · Apr 18

SUBvs Brandon Davis · Sep 18

vs Jeremy Stephens · Mar 19

vs Calvin Kattar · Nov 19

latest

Sheymon MoraesL2 streak

oldest →

vs Matt Sayles · Aug 18

vs Julio Arce · Nov 18

vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 19

KOvs Andre Fili · Jul 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zabit MagomedsharipovMetricSheymon Moraes

4.89

Strikes / min

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

3.64

64%

Strike defense

63%

5.22

TDs / 15 min

0.00

77%

Takedown defense

53%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.89Δ 2.53 — meaningful gap-0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zabit MagomedsharipovSheymon Moraes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zabit Magomedsharipov(6 fights)Sheymon Moraes(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +117.7|Blue -117.7

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zabit MagomedsharipovTargetSheymon Moraes

By target zone

49% acc · 82%

Head

41% acc · 39%

17% acc · 3%

Body

78% acc · 39%

71% acc · 15%

Leg

80% acc · 22%

By position

38% acc · 41%

Distance

57% acc · 94%

Clinch

61% acc · 59%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zabit Magomedsharipov rounds

even

Sheymon Moraes rounds

Round 1Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns3

Control2:26

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns3

Control4:20

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns5

Control3:03

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 70

Sig Strikes

18 / 31

46.3%

Sig Str %

72%

60 / 101

Total Strikes

23 / 38

11 / 15

TDs

0 / 0

77%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

9:49

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sheymon Moraes	8 / 18	10 / 20	0 / 0	0
1	Zabit Magomedsharipov	13 / 29	21 / 38	3 / 3	0
2	Sheymon Moraes	2 / 2	4 / 5	0 / 0	0
2	Zabit Magomedsharipov	16 / 28	31 / 44	3 / 5	0
3	Sheymon Moraes	8 / 11	9 / 13	0 / 0	0
3	Zabit Magomedsharipov	5 / 13	8 / 19	5 / 7	1

Zabit Magomedsharipov

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Sheymon Moraes

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5