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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Zabit Magomedsharipov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1377

Zabit MagomedsharipovvsKyle BochniakUFC Prediction Result

UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · Saturday, April 7, 2018Brooklyn, New York, USA

Official fight result

Zabit Magomedsharipov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupZabit Magomedsharipov: WrestlervsKyle Bochniak: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins(84.4%)

Actual result: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zabit Magomedsharipov at -700 American odds

+$14 profit

$114 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zabit Magomedsharipov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Zabit Magomedsharipov has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Zabit Magomedsharipov

Red Corner

Kyle Bochniak

Blue Corner

-700

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+500

(17%)

1492

Elo

1377

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'7"

185.42 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zabit MagomedsharipovW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Mike Santiago · Sep 17

SUBvs Sheymon Moraes · Nov 17

SUBvs Brandon Davis · Sep 18

vs Jeremy Stephens · Mar 19

vs Calvin Kattar · Nov 19

latest

Kyle BochniakL2 streak

oldest →

vs Enrique Barzola · Aug 16

vs Jeremy Kennedy · Jul 17

vs Brandon Davis · Jan 18

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Dec 18

vs Sean Woodson · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zabit MagomedsharipovMetricKyle Bochniak

4.89

Strikes / min

2.63

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

5.11

64%

Strike defense

58%

5.22

TDs / 15 min

1.14

77%

Takedown defense

62%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.89Δ 4.37 — meaningful gap-2.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zabit MagomedsharipovKyle Bochniak

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zabit Magomedsharipov(6 fights)Kyle Bochniak(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +115.0|Blue -115.0

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zabit MagomedsharipovTargetKyle Bochniak

By target zone

40% acc · 77%

Head

23% acc · 79%

79% acc · 11%

Body

69% acc · 21%

73% acc · 11%

Leg

0% acc

By position

43% acc · 92%

Distance

26% acc · 98%

50% acc · 1%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

88% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zabit Magomedsharipov rounds

even

Kyle Bochniak rounds

Round 1Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns2

Control1:47

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns3

Control2:02

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

97 / 217

Sig Strikes

43 / 163

44.3%

Sig Str %

25.7%

114 / 237

Total Strikes

44 / 164

5 / 11

TDs

0 / 2

45%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:49

Ctrl Time

0:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kyle Bochniak	15 / 61	15 / 61	0 / 1
1	Zabit Magomedsharipov	41 / 91	41 / 91	0 / 0
2	Kyle Bochniak	10 / 42	10 / 42	0 / 1
2	Zabit Magomedsharipov	30 / 70	37 / 78	2 / 5
3	Kyle Bochniak	18 / 60	19 / 61	0 / 0
3	Zabit Magomedsharipov	26 / 56	36 / 68	3 / 6

Zabit Magomedsharipov

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Kyle Bochniak

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7