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Featherweight

5 Rounds

Zabit Magomedsharipov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1474

Zabit MagomedsharipovvsCalvin KattarUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · Saturday, November 9, 2019Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Zabit Magomedsharipov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupZabit Magomedsharipov: WrestlervsCalvin Kattar: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins(78.5%)

Actual result: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zabit Magomedsharipov at -275 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zabit Magomedsharipov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Zabit Magomedsharipov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Zabit Magomedsharipov

Red Corner

Calvin Kattar

Blue Corner

-275

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1492

Elo

1474

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zabit MagomedsharipovW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Mike Santiago · Sep 17

SUBvs Sheymon Moraes · Nov 17

vs Kyle Bochniak · Apr 18

SUBvs Brandon Davis · Sep 18

vs Jeremy Stephens · Mar 19

latest

Calvin KattarL5 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Emmett · Jun 22

KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22

vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24

vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25

vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zabit MagomedsharipovMetricCalvin Kattar

4.89

Strikes / min

4.41

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

6.55

64%

Strike defense

54%

5.22

TDs / 15 min

0.34

77%

Takedown defense

77%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.89Δ 4.03 — meaningful gap-2.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zabit MagomedsharipovCalvin Kattar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zabit Magomedsharipov(6 fights)Calvin Kattar(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.5|Blue -18.5

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zabit MagomedsharipovTargetCalvin Kattar

By target zone

25% acc · 48%

Head

33% acc · 76%

42% acc · 15%

Body

52% acc · 14%

100% acc · 38%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

38% acc · 99%

Distance

35% acc · 89%

Clinch

100% acc · 1%

Ground

100% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zabit Magomedsharipov rounds

even

Calvin Kattar rounds

Round 1Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:06

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control0:46

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

96 / 250

Sig Strikes

80 / 213

38.7%

Sig Str %

35%

100 / 255

Total Strikes

127 / 260

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:52

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Calvin Kattar	15 / 52	15 / 52	0 / 0
1	Zabit Magomedsharipov	34 / 95	34 / 95	0 / 0
2	Calvin Kattar	21 / 64	21 / 64	0 / 0
2	Zabit Magomedsharipov	32 / 90	32 / 90	0 / 2
3	Calvin Kattar	44 / 97	91 / 144	0 / 0
3	Zabit Magomedsharipov	30 / 65	34 / 70	1 / 2

Zabit Magomedsharipov

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Calvin Kattar

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15