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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Zabit Magomedsharipov won · SUB R2

Elo1492

Elo1438

Zabit MagomedsharipovvsBrandon DavisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · Saturday, September 8, 2018Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Zabit Magomedsharipov won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:46

Style matchupZabit Magomedsharipov: WrestlervsBrandon Davis: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins(68.0%)

Actual result: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zabit Magomedsharipov at -1375 American odds

+$7 profit

$107 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zabit Magomedsharipov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Brandon Davis enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Zabit Magomedsharipov has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Zabit Magomedsharipov

Red Corner

Brandon Davis

Blue Corner

-1375

(93%)

Vegas Odds

+900

(10%)

1492

Elo

1438

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Zabit MagomedsharipovW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Mike Santiago · Sep 17

SUBvs Sheymon Moraes · Nov 17

vs Kyle Bochniak · Apr 18

vs Jeremy Stephens · Mar 19

vs Calvin Kattar · Nov 19

latest

Brandon DavisL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Randy Costa · Apr 19

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 19

vs Giga Chikadze · Sep 19

KOvs Batgerel Danaa · Oct 21

vs Mana Martinez · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Zabit MagomedsharipovMetricBrandon Davis

4.89

Strikes / min

4.68

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

4.62

64%

Strike defense

58%

5.22

TDs / 15 min

0.74

77%

Takedown defense

57%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.89Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap+0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Zabit MagomedsharipovBrandon Davis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Zabit Magomedsharipov(6 fights)Brandon Davis(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +54.3|Blue -54.3

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Zabit MagomedsharipovTargetBrandon Davis

By target zone

65% acc · 68%

Head

22% acc · 30%

100% acc · 11%

Body

47% acc · 26%

89% acc · 21%

Leg

71% acc · 44%

By position

68% acc · 66%

Distance

36% acc · 89%

71% acc · 13%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

89% acc · 21%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Zabit Magomedsharipov rounds

even

Brandon Davis rounds

Round 1Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:43

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns5

Control3:16

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 53

Sig Strikes

27 / 69

71.5%

Sig Str %

59%

47 / 62

Total Strikes

29 / 71

6 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

91.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:59

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brandon Davis	21 / 62	22 / 63	0 / 0	0
1	Zabit Magomedsharipov	21 / 30	22 / 31	1 / 1	0
2	Brandon Davis	6 / 7	7 / 8	0 / 0	0
2	Zabit Magomedsharipov	17 / 23	25 / 31	5 / 6	1

Zabit Magomedsharipov

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Brandon Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9