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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Yves Jabouin won · U-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1352

Yves JabouinvsJeff HouglandUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · Tuesday, May 15, 2012Fairfax, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Yves Jabouin won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupYves Jabouin: Well-roundedvsJeff Hougland: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Jeff Hougland wins(73.0%)

Actual result: Yves Jabouin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jeff Hougland at +275 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yves Jabouin has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Yves Jabouin has 82pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Yves Jabouin

Red Corner

Jeff Hougland

Blue Corner

-305

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+275

(27%)

1355

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yves JabouinL2 streak

oldest →

vs Dustin Pague · Jun 13

KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jan 14

vs Mike Easton · Jun 14

KOvs Thomas Almeida · Apr 15

SUBvs Felipe Arantes · Aug 15

latest

Jeff Hougland

oldest →

vs Donny Walker · Jul 11

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Nov 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yves JabouinMetricJeff Hougland

3.06

Strikes / min

1.86

2.93

Strikes absorbed / min

3.46

62%

Strike defense

47%

1.94

TDs / 15 min

0.86

82%

Takedown defense

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.13Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap-1.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yves JabouinJeff Hougland

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yves Jabouin(10 fights)Jeff Hougland(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.4|Blue -3.4

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -161.0|Blue +161.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yves JabouinTargetJeff Hougland

By target zone

48% acc · 60%

Head

7% acc · 11%

71% acc · 34%

Body

50% acc · 22%

43% acc · 6%

Leg

75% acc · 67%

By position

48% acc · 60%

Distance

35% acc · 100%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

0% acc

63% acc · 38%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yves Jabouin rounds

even

Jeff Hougland rounds

Round 1Yves Jabouin edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:47

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Yves Jabouin edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Yves Jabouin edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control4:14

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 93

Sig Strikes

18 / 52

53%

Sig Str %

24%

88 / 145

Total Strikes

30 / 69

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 3

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:01

Ctrl Time

0:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jeff Hougland	8 / 29	8 / 29	0 / 0
1	Yves Jabouin	19 / 34	34 / 51	0 / 0
2	Jeff Hougland	10 / 22	10 / 22	0 / 2
2	Yves Jabouin	14 / 30	14 / 30	0 / 0
3	Jeff Hougland	0 / 1	12 / 18	0 / 1
3	Yves Jabouin	17 / 29	40 / 64	0 / 0

Yves Jabouin

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10

Jeff Hougland

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights3