← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Sam Stout won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1354

Elo1355

Yves EdwardsvsSam StoutUFC Prediction Result

UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · Saturday, June 11, 2011Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Sam Stout won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:52

Style matchupYves Edwards: Well-roundedvsSam Stout: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Yves Edwards wins(69.6%)

Actual result: Sam Stout wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yves Edwards at +167 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Yves Edwards (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yves Edwards

Red Corner

Sam Stout

Blue Corner

+167

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-178

(64%)

1354

Elo

1355

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yves EdwardsL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Dec 12

vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Feb 13

vs Daron Cruickshank · Jul 13

SUBvs Piotr Hallmann · Jun 14

SUBvs Akbarh Arreola · Nov 14

latest

Sam StoutL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs James Krause · Jun 13

vs Cody McKenzie · Dec 13

KOvs KJ Noons · Apr 14

KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 15

KOvs Frankie Perez · Aug 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yves EdwardsMetricSam Stout

2.91

Strikes / min

4.17

2.34

Strikes absorbed / min

4.08

66%

Strike defense

57%

0.76

TDs / 15 min

0.63

69%

Takedown defense

77%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.57evenly matched on net striking+0.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yves EdwardsSam Stout

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yves Edwards(10 fights)Sam Stout(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -1.8|Blue +1.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yves EdwardsTargetSam Stout

By target zone

35% acc · 57%

Head

12% acc · 38%

57% acc · 29%

Body

71% acc · 38%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

75% acc · 23%

By position

44% acc · 100%

Distance

24% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yves Edwards rounds

even

Sam Stout rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control1:15

Knockdowns0

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 32

Sig Strikes

13 / 54

43%

Sig Str %

24%

23 / 43

Total Strikes

13 / 56

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:15

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sam Stout	13 / 54	13 / 56	0 / 0	0
1	Yves Edwards	14 / 32	23 / 43	1 / 2	0

Yves Edwards

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights10

Sam Stout

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12