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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Piotr Hallmann won · SUB R3

Elo1354

Elo1356

Yves EdwardsvsPiotr HallmannUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · Saturday, June 7, 2014Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA

Official fight result

Piotr Hallmann won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:31

Style matchupYves Edwards: Well-roundedvsPiotr Hallmann: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Piotr Hallmann wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Piotr Hallmann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Piotr Hallmann at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yves Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Piotr Hallmann enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Yves Edwards is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Piotr Hallmann has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Piotr Hallmann threatens submissions; Yves Edwards has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Yves Edwards (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yves Edwards

Red Corner

Piotr Hallmann

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1354

Elo

1356

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yves EdwardsL3 streak

oldest →

vs Tony Ferguson · Dec 11

KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Dec 12

vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Feb 13

vs Daron Cruickshank · Jul 13

SUBvs Akbarh Arreola · Nov 14

latest

Piotr HallmannL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 13

vs Al Iaquinta · Oct 13

vs Gleison Tibau · Sep 14

KOvs Magomed Mustafaev · Jun 15

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yves EdwardsMetricPiotr Hallmann

2.91

Strikes / min

3.98

2.34

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

66%

Strike defense

58%

0.76

TDs / 15 min

2.55

69%

Takedown defense

70%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.57evenly matched on net striking+0.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yves EdwardsPiotr Hallmann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yves Edwards(10 fights)Piotr Hallmann(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.8|Blue +1.8

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yves EdwardsTargetPiotr Hallmann

By target zone

24% acc · 56%

Head

36% acc · 45%

69% acc · 33%

Body

72% acc · 41%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

73% acc · 14%

By position

29% acc · 78%

Distance

40% acc · 52%

86% acc · 22%

Clinch

59% acc · 18%

Ground

71% acc · 30%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yves Edwards rounds

even

Piotr Hallmann rounds

Round 1Piotr Hallmann edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:14

19Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:35Control

Round 2Piotr Hallmann edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:29

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:38Control

Round 3Piotr Hallmann edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:17Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 79

Sig Strikes

56 / 113

33%

Sig Str %

50.3%

31 / 84

Total Strikes

96 / 162

1 / 1

TDs

4 / 11

100%

TD %

36%

Sub Att

Rev

0:43

Ctrl Time

5:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Piotr Hallmann	19 / 44	32 / 58	2 / 4	0
1	Yves Edwards	15 / 45	15 / 46	1 / 1	0
2	Piotr Hallmann	24 / 46	42 / 69	1 / 4	0
2	Yves Edwards	9 / 23	12 / 26	0 / 0	0
3	Piotr Hallmann	13 / 23	22 / 35	1 / 3	1
3	Yves Edwards	3 / 11	4 / 12	0 / 0	0

Yves Edwards

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights10

Piotr Hallmann

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6